Previewing the Voting to Create the 2/3-2/9/19 Fan Voted Chart

Thanks for taking the time to read any of this post, which I use as a way to inform you about the upcoming Voting to Create the 2/3-2/9/19 Fan Voted Chart.

Point Distribution
Based on what poll a song is on and what place it finishes in will determine how many points the song will have added to its cumulative total.  There is a total of 1,440 points to redistribute this week to get to the 10,000 points distributed to all the songs on the chart.  The total number of points to redistribute is found by adding up the points that removed songs had in their last week on the chart plus the 10% of points songs lose between their last week in the voting and the last week on the chart.  Basically, songs give up the points they had earned over their chart run and those points are redistributed to the songs that are in the voting.  For more information on how the chart works, please visit http://dcmf.x10.mx/how.html

Here’s a more detailed breakdown of how points are distributed:

Normal Distribution: 767
Bonus Points: 673

Normal Distribution:
Here’s the Level by Level breakdown of how the Normal Distribution will work this week:

Level 10 POINTS GAINED
1st 20
2nd 18
3rd 16
4th 14
5th 12
6th 10
7th 8
8th N/A
 9th N/A
 10th N/A
Level 9 POINTS GAINED
1st 18
2nd 16
3rd 14
4th 12
5th 10
6th 8
7th 7
8th 5
 9th 3
 10th 2
Level 8 POINTS GAINED
1st 17
2nd 15
3rd 13
4th 11
5th 9
6th 7
7th N/A
8th N/A
 9th N/A
 10th N/A
Level 7 POINTS GAINED
1st 16
2nd 14
3rd 12
4th 10
5th 8
6th 7
7th 6
8th 4
 9th N/A
 10th N/A
Level 6 POINTS GAINED
1st 15
2nd 13
3rd 11
4th 9
5th 8
6th 7
7th 6
8th 3
 9th N/A
 10th N/A
Level 5 POINTS GAINED
1st 14
2nd 12
3rd 10
4th 9
5th 8
6th 6
7th 5
8th 3
 9th 2
 10th N/A
Level 4 POINTS GAINED
1st 13
2nd 11
3rd 10
4th 9
5th 7
6th 5
7th 4
8th N/A
 9th N/A
 10th N/A
Level 3 POINTS GAINED
1st 12
2nd 10
3rd 9
4th 8
5th 6
6th 5
7th 4
8th 3
 9th 2
 10th 1
Level 2 POINTS GAINED
1st 11
2nd 10
3rd 8
4th 7
5th 6
6th 5
7th 4
8th 3
 9th 2
 10th N/A
Entry Level POINTS GAINED
1st 10
2nd 9
3rd 8
4th 7
5th 6
6th 5
7th 4
8th 3
 9th 2
 10th, 11th and 12th N/A

The “N/A” listed in the points column means there will not be a song that finishes in that place on that poll as there are not a full number of songs in the voting on that Level.

Bonus Point Distribution:
The breakdown of bonus points is determined by the percent of votes a song on that polls receives.  This week…
102 points will be distributed to the Level 10 songs
94 to the Level 9 songs
87 to Level 8
81 to Level 7
67 to Level 6
67 to Level 5
54 to Level 4
47 to Level 3
40 to Level 2
34 to Level 1

Level Movement
The following table outlines the movement of songs up levels or off of the chart so you can see how many songs will be on each poll and how many songs are moving up a level.

Level Songs on This Week’s Poll Songs on Level, Not on Poll* Songs Removed From the Chart** Songs Promoted to the Next Level
10 7 1 2 N/A
9 10 0 0 2
8 6 2 2 2
7 8 2 0 4
6 8 0 2 4
5 9 1 0 6
4 7 2 1 6
3 10 0 0 7
2 9 1 0 7
1 9 0 1 7
Entry Level*** 125 8

*-all songs get an “encore” week after being retired from the voting (usually because it didn’t get the required percent of votes it needed).  When a song is on its “encore” week, it still counts towards the 10 songs on the level.
**-after a song’s “encore” week, it is removed from the chart and a spot opens up on the level.  The songs on the level below are able to move up to take the open spot and therefore creates an open spot on that level.
***-there is no limit to the number of songs on the Entry Level.  The numbers provided in this row are merely for your information.

Who Can Be #1?
Last week’s #1 song, “Love Wins” by Carrie Underwood was able to squeeze in another week at #1 as neither song that had a realistic chance was able to gain enough points to surpass what “Love Wins” had in its final week.  This week we are guaranteed to have a new #1 song and it will be “What Makes You Country” by Luke Bryan, “Leave Her Wild” by Sundance Head or “Speak Love” by The Family Sowell.  Here’s the rundown on how each song make it to #1:

“What Makes You Country” (427 points):  It is theoretically possible for this song to be #1, but it is not realistic; the only way for it to happen would be for it to receive every vote cast this week.  Even one vote for another song basically eliminates “WMYC” from being #1, though it doesn’t automatically do it.  100% of the votes gives “WMYC” 122 points (20 for 1st and all 102 bonus points for the level), increasing it to 549, which would just higher than what the other two songs on this list can reach.  Final Verdict: Possible, not happening

“Leave Her Wild” (524 points): This song has been slowly gaining ground on #1 for weeks and was finally in position to take over last week, but did not get enough votes to earn enough points to.  Unfortunately, the #1 spot has become harder than before for “LHW” as the “Speak Love” finally past it in points after multiple weeks of gaining more points than “LHW.”  Therefore, for “LHW” to be #1 is has to finish higher in the voting than “SL” and hope that it gains a high enough percentage more of the bonus points.  Based on the information I gave earlier in this post, if “LHW” finish one place ahead of “SL” it would about 3% more of the votes; two places ahead means only about 1% more of the votes; 3 or more places ahead automatically earns overcomes the 5-point deficit no matter what percent of the votes they got.  Based on recent trends…Final verdict: Possible, but not looking good.

“Speak Love” (529 points):  Entering the voting with the most accumulated points of any songs still in the voting puts “SL” in great position to be #1.  If “SL” finishes ahead of “LHW” then “SL” is #1; if “SL” narrowly finishes behind “LHW” then it likely is still #1.  Recent trends show that “SL” is consistently getting more votes than “LHW”…Final verdict: Most likely to be #1.

Who’s New, Who’s Out of the Voting?
Please refer to my 2/3-2/9/19 Adds and 1/27-2/2/19 Retired Songs posts to see what songs are new and what songs are out of the voting.

Each song that is “Retired, Still on the Chart/Level” will still be on this week’s chart as an “encore” but is removed afterwards.  As part of this “encore” each song will lose 10% of their previous points (5 Points minimum, always rounded to the next whole number, minimum score of 0 Points) to simulate a fall down the charts before removal.

Voting Info:
The Voting to Create the 2/3-2/9/19 Chart will run from 4pmEDT on Tuesday, 1/29 until 4pmET on Thursday, 1/31 (8am in Canberra on Wednesday, 1/30 until 8am in Canberra on Friday, 2/1 for my Australian voters).  The 2/3-2/9/19 Chart will be revealed on Sunday, 2/3.

To see what songs are in the voting this week, please see the Songs in the Voting page.

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