Previewing the 2/25 Edition Voting: Taylor Hicks & Randy Moore to Compete for #1, More…

Thanks for taking the time to read any of this post, which I use as a way to inform you about the upcoming 2/25 Fan Voted Chart Voting, where Parts 1 and 2 make the 2/25 Edition Chart and Part 3 helps determine what songs to add to the 3/4 Edition Chart.

Who Can Be #1?
With the recent #1 “For the First Time” by Darius Rucker now out of the voting and unable to hang onto its lead in points, there is now two songs who can claim #1 on this week’s chart—“Six Strings and Diamond Rings” by Taylor Hicks (currently with 338 Points) and “Refuge” by Randy Moore (currently with 332 Points).  There are only 3 songs on the Level 10 Poll this week and the redistribution of points gives 9 to 1st, 6 to 2nd and 3 to 3rd.  There are only 2 ways that “Refuge” by Randy Moore can be #1; any other scenario than the following and “Six Strings and Diamond Rings” finally gets to #1:

Scenario #1—“Refuge” wins the Level 10 Poll and “Six Strings and Diamond Rings” finishes 3rd.  This would give both songs 341 Points, and “Refuge” has the tiebreaker as it has been on the chart longer that “Six Strings and Diamond Rings.”  Based on current voting trends, I would estimate this as about a 50% chance of happening.

Scenario #2—“Refuge” wins the Level 10 Poll and is the Hot Song for the week.  In this scenario, “Refuge” gets to 346 Points, which would be a total “Six Strings and Diamond Rings” could not beat even if it finished 2nd on the Level 10 Poll.  Since there are only 3 songs on the Level 10 Poll, it is going to take something of a miracle for “Refuge” to be the Hot Song; I estimate that there is less than a 1% chance of this scenario happening.

Who’s In, Who’s Out of the Voting?
To see what songs that are now in the Chart Creation (Part 2), the songs removed from the Chart Creation (Parts 1 and 2), and what songs are now on the Testing Polls (Part 3), please refer to my 2/18 Voting Results, Part 3, and my 2/18 Removed Songs and 2/25 Adds posts.

Each song that is “Out of the Voting” will still be on this week’s chart as an “encore” but is removed afterwards.  As part of this “encore” each song will lose 10% of their previous points (5 Points minimum, always rounded to the next whole number) to simulate a fall down the charts before removal.

Level Movement
The following table outlines the movement of songs up levels or off of the chart so you can see how many songs will be on each poll and how many songs are moving up a level.

Level Songs on This Week’s Poll Songs on Level, Not on Poll* Songs Removed From the Chart** Songs Moving up a Level (or two)
10 3 3 2 N/A
9 6 2 0 2
8 7 0 1 2
7 7 1 0 3
6 8 0 0 3
5 8 0 0 3
4 6 0 2 3
3 8 0 0 5
2 8 0 0 5
1*** 120 9 14 5

*-all songs get an “encore” week after being removed from the voting (didn’t get the required percent of votes or the artist has a new song in the voting).  When a song is on its “encore” week, it still counts towards the 8 songs on the level.
**-after a song’s “encore” week, it is removed from the chart and a spot opens up on the level.  The songs on the level below are able to move up to take the open spot and therefore creates an open spot on that level.  The number of songs moving up off a level is always equal to the number of songs removed from the levels about it.
***-there is no limit to the number of songs on Level 1.  The numbers provided in this row are merely for your information.

Point Distribution
Based on what poll a song is on and what place it finishes in will determine how many points the song will have added to its cumulative total.  There is a total of 1,044 points to redistribute this week (5 extra to the Hot Song, 1,039 to split between all the songs) to get to the 10,000 points distributed to all the songs on the chart. The final distribution total is announced with the results post.  The total number of points to redistribute is found by adding up the points that removed songs had in their last week on the chart plus the 10% of points songs lose between their last week in the voting and the last week on the chart.  Basically, songs give up the points they had earned over their chart run and those points are redistributed to the songs that are in the voting.  For more information on how the chart works, please visit http://dcmf.x10.mx/how.html

Nominated Songs Polls Preview
This week there are 90 total songs on the Nominating Polls, with 13 songs on the Australian Poll, 5 on the Canadian Poll, 13 on the Indie Poll, 24 on the Roots Poll, 15 on the Texas Regional Poll and 20 on the United States Poll.  The song(s) with the most votes on each poll will be added to the chart next week.  I also add “Wild Cards” which are any song that did not win a poll, but was ranked in the Top 20% of songs (for more information on Wild Cards, click here).

Voting Info:
Voting in the 2/25 edition voting will run from 4pmET on Tuesday, 2/20 until 4pmET on Friday, 2/23.  The chart will be revealed on Sunday, 2/25.

To see what songs are on the chart (Parts 1 and 2) and what songs are nominated for the chart (Part 3) this week, please see the Songs in the Voting page.

 

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